I got into a lively debate yesterday with a fellow student about the bailout of the auto-industry. He said the social ramifications of letting them fail were too high. The impact on the local communities would be too high and so they should be bailed out by the tax-payers.
I said they were not cost-effective and there wasn’t enough demand for their cars to keep them in business. Even if the government gave them $25 billion, they’d plow through it and be back at the door asking for another handout. The government, too ashamed to admit it had wasted the first $25 billion would probably hand them another $25 billion. (This is called the Concorde effect, after the failed Concorde partnership between England and France which was a financial disaster).
I read some articles with also drew similar conclusions, but with different viewpoints.
In 2006, the average hourly wage of a person with a high school diploma was $13.46 per hour. For those fortunate enough to receive insurance and other forms of compensation, the average was $17.50 per hour in total compensation. These averages encompass all age groups.
However, if you are a Detroit auto worker with a high school diploma, your total compensation comes to: $67.78 (Ford), $70.43 (GM) or $72.59 (Chrysler) per hour.
That’s right, it cost Detroit 4-5 times more to hire unskilled labor! I think it’s the auto unions who are driving the US car manufacturers out of business.
I think its said that someone who spent 4 years in college and graduates with a student loan has to work for about $20-$25/hr while an unskilled worker makes more than that. Even grocery baggers in California supermarkets used to make $27/hr after working there for 7 years because of their union deal! That’s a pretty sweet deal if you can find it.
But moving on…
All of this brouhaha about bailing out the auto industry and how destructive it will be to the country - sounds a lot like the moans and groans of the steel industry (and steel unions) a few decades ago when the Japanese and Koreans were killing the U.S. companies with low prices for bulk steel. The biggies, like U.S. Steel and Bethlehem, went under.
And you know what? Small, progressive and aggressive steel companies arose in the U.S. - not for the cheapo junk steel, but for the better grades, for alloys and for hi-tech steels. And in a few decades, the industry bounced back better than ever. The U.S. was THE place to buy the good stuff. The Far East was where you bought the cheap bulk stuff. Did it ‘hurt’? Yeah, for a while, but you know, we got over it and came through it all the better. We just forgot what we learned.
How many innovative car companies do you think will start popping up in the U.S. when the dinosaur Big 3, and their fat-assed dinosaur management, are finally gone? I don’t think that innovation is completely dead in the U.S.; it’s just been shut down in favor of huge management bonuses paid for killing industries through blind stodginess. Let’s see, how many U.S. car companies were still trying to crank out SUV guzzlers when gas prices were scaling Everest? Let the dead die so that the living can grow.
Sorry, unions and union members, but the day is over that a dumb back can command a sizeable (read uncompetitive) wage and benefit package just for showing up to do a job that, in many cases, a monkey could be trained to do. Better get some education. The new companies will be high-tech - there will be plenty of jobs for those with a reasonable education and training. Dumb backs will get to clean toilets at a commensurate wage.
Hear that Fed and Treasury and Congress? Don’t waste money trying to resurrect dinosaur corpses. Put the money into opening up investment in new technologies, good products and well-run companies. Put the money toward training a labor force that can be part of competitive industries. And start the ‘do it or fail’ philosophy in the schools. First-grade would be good.
This reminds of an excellent book I read a few years ago called God Wants You to Be Rich: How and Why Everyone Can Enjoy Material and Spiritual Wealth in Our Abundant World. The author states the example of automated farming techniques introduced in the early 1900s, reducing the workforce required for producing food from 30% of the population to the 3% we have today. Did those people starve to death? No, they went on to find other jobs. I think society, (and by society I mean the US taxpayer) is better served by having an overpaid segment of society go find some other work to do.
And lastly, if the economics isn’t enough, lets look at how poorly managed these companies are.
The execs for the Big Three automakers each took private jets to their testimony before Congress yesterday. Average cost for the flight from Detroit to Washington? $20,000… Northwest had flights available that day for $288 coach, $837 first-class.
“It’s almost like seeing a guy show up at the soup kitchen in a high hat and tuxedo,” Rep. Gary Ackerman, a Democrat from New York, said of the dynamic trio. “Couldn’t you have downgraded to first class or something, or jet-pooled or something to get here?”
Maybe they should have driven?
The southern states make cars like Honda (HMC), Acura, and Nissan (NSANY). They don’t have the high labor rates and are actually profitable car companies. Obviously they’re opposed to the bailout because it use’s their tax money to help the competition.
So what do you think of the car industry bailout?
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This article has 38 comments:
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Bababooie
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165 Comments
My Website
Nov 21 04:42 PMThe author had indicated that the conversation was with a "fellow student". The Author is obviously in the process of getting an education. Every education comes with a cold shower of reality once in the marketplace.
The Autoworker are getting paid exactly what the marketplace demanded. There are varying degrees of education by these workers. The SMART ones can get a comfortable income, while not having to deal with a lot of stress.
My advise to the Author.....Try and get a job (and Keep it!!)
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UH2L
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24 Comments
My Website
Nov 21 04:46 PMAuto workers are not unskilled!!! Do you even know what the workers do besides screwing in bolts? Have you ever been to an assembly line, design studio, stamping plant, test track? They do modelmaking, tool maintenance, durability driving, data acquisition, computerized machining. What you call a "worker" is not just a person on the assembly line. And to say a monkey can do their job is insulting. Even with simpler jobs, what the lineworkers do is admirable considering the monotony, physical exertion, and risk of injury in certain cases. Desk jobs don't kill people but plant jobs can and do occasionally.
Perhaps they do make too much, but it's a legacy from prior UAW contracts that aren't the fault of current management. They are doing the right thing by fulfilling obligations and if they go bankrupt, (which will mean disaster for sales and our economy), then they will get out of the obligations but the healthcare and pension burden will be shifted onto the government. And nobody will buy a car at a reasonable price from a bankrupt company for fear of not getting parts and service.
By the way, I'm a white collar former GM employee, but these arguments by supposed "experts" have to stop. Learn what really goes on in the industry before you write such articles. You are doing a disservice to our workers, our auto industry, and our economy.
UH2L
www.thingsivenoticed.c...
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UH2L
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24 Comments
My Website
Nov 21 04:49 PMFor you to bring up the fact that the writer is not an American born citizen has no place in our comment. I am not one either. I was born in India, (presumably where Nirav is from based on his name), but I grew up in the Midwest from when I was a baby. I'm also a liberal and I have an MBA from the University of Michigan.
Don't go stereotyping people based on ethnicity and education.
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jarco
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29 Comments
Nov 21 05:02 PMIf I'm likely paying an executive $2500 plus an hour, his/her 12-15 hour day is worth more than the cost of the trip. How many conference call minutes could occur between the exec and his staff in Detroit on a Northwest flight. Zero. Aside from whatever he/she could accomplish while testifying, the whole day is shot and right at time critical in the business.
Since you haven't been there, you're excused.
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jarco
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29 Comments
Nov 21 05:20 PMCorrect me if I'm wrong but its my understanding legacy medical benefits include coverage up to age 65 and then reduce to a supplemental to Medicare. And the coverage is termed by some as "very generous". Should these benefits cease, then the employee would have to pay for similar coverage privately. While deemed to be difficult, all other non-union (and that's most of us) are in the same boat.
Auto employees will earn/have social security plus a pension. That's all. The rest disappears or the business that supports the continual pension funding disappears. In addition, layed off workers will collect state unemployment insurance just like the rest of us. No more 95% pay without punching the clock . . . just like the rest of us
On Nov 21 04:46 PM UH2L wrote:
> It's not a matter of whether the companies deserve the loans, (notice
> I didn't use the term bail-out). God knows, the banks didn't deserve
> them due to their greed and stupidity. But, giving them the money
> was the best thing to do for the good of the world economy. I would
> argue that the same holds true for these Detroit 3 bridge loans.
>
>
> Auto workers are not unskilled!!! Do you even know what the workers
> do besides screwing in bolts? Have you ever been to an assembly line,
> design studio, stamping plant, test track? They do modelmaking, tool
> maintenance, durability driving, data acquisition, computerized machining.
> What you call a "worker" is not just a person on the assembly line.
> And to say a monkey can do their job is insulting. Even with simpler
> jobs, what the lineworkers do is admirable considering the monotony,
> physical exertion, and risk of injury in certain cases. Desk jobs
> don't kill people but plant jobs can and do occasionally.
>
> Perhaps they do make too much, but it's a legacy from prior UAW contracts
> that aren't the fault of current management. They are doing the right
> thing by fulfilling obligations and if they go bankrupt, (which will
> mean disaster for sales and our economy), then they will get out
> of the obligations but the healthcare and pension burden will be
> shifted onto the government. And nobody will buy a car at a reasonable
> price from a bankrupt company for fear of not getting parts and service.
>
>
> By the way, I'm a white collar former GM employee, but these arguments
> by supposed "experts" have to stop. Learn what really goes on in
> the industry before you write such articles. You are doing a disservice
> to our workers, our auto industry, and our economy.
>
> UH2L
> www.thingsivenoticed.c.../
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Robert Nabloid
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252 Comments
My Website
Nov 21 05:56 PMEither way, we haven't addressed the economic issues... If we bail them out with cash (no strings attached), they will be back for more. Loan them money. Don't give it. This will force restructuring because they will still have to address their issues.
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knot2hazy
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20 Comments
My Website
Nov 22 08:14 AM-
knot2hazy
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20 Comments
My Website
Nov 22 08:18 AM-
xsuddensam
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242 Comments
Nov 22 09:03 AMYesterday, the UAW pleaded for a bailout, warning about the far reaching unemployment implications if it is denied. If the UAW is so concerned about keeping these jobs, the union officers should take a pay cut, downsize the union, lower member fees and convince members into making more concessions.
It's about time people standup and take responsibility rather than bitch and moan about their self created problems.
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msoori
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71 Comments
My Website
Nov 22 09:39 AM-
a. palmer jr.
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70 Comments
Nov 22 09:42 AM-
axelrod608
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314 Comments
Nov 22 09:52 AMIt's time for the agile, quick, innovative and lean to take over.
If Koreans or Japanese were running the Big 3, they'd be profitable. Without the debt load of course.
The ONLY Constitutional solution to solve overindebtedness is bankruptcy. It's time our government stopped trying to subvert the Constitution and put these unsustainable relics where they belong - in bankruptcy.
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xsuddensam
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242 Comments
Nov 22 10:04 AMIt's like the pot calling the kettle black. However, the crooks in Washington are flying for free in jets belonging to their corporate masters.
On Nov 22 09:42 AM a. palmer jr. wrote:
> I kinda got a laugh at the Representative who asked the CEO's how
> they got there. It's kinda like the Senators, Sec of State, Pres.
> and Vice Pres. flying around in planes paid by taxpayers when our
> government is trillions of dollars in debt!!
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Miken
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48 Comments
Nov 22 10:40 AM1. Submit a plan to the tax payers of their respective states, and to the American people that would eliminate the debt in their respective states as well as the U.S. debt.
2. Until such time as these debts are eliminated, they will give up all preferential parking at airports.
3. Receive a salary of $1 per year.
4. Be required to introduce a bill to eliminate the governmental air fleet (including Air Force 1).
5. Plan on having their generous retirement program turned over to the PBGC and be capped at $3500 per month.
I mean, if it's the thing to do for a company that is $50 billion in debt, why wouldn't it be appropriate for a country that is $11 trillion in debt.
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Drew Horn
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19 Comments
Nov 22 12:13 PMCash has been given to them with no visible control and the results have been to make things worse. Some banks are using the cash to buy their competitors and become even larger. AIG is into us for $150 billion much of which has been used to pay off their gambling debts (credit default swaps). GM attempted to get us to enable them to buy Chrysler. The result would have been to make them much larger and TOO BIG TO FAIL! Fannie and Freddy have been nationalized and told to subsidize all the idiotic, bad real estate loans they can find and in the process their bad asset portfolios grow TOO BIG TO FAIL!.
Encouraging companies in trouble to grow is exactly the wrong thing to do but our government is so inept they don't know what else to do. Breaking up companies into units to small the be a threat and devising ways to insulate the overall economy from the bad judgements of a few, and making their owners take the risk, needs to be the objective.
Propping up the US auto industry is the wrong thing to do. They should be forced into chapter 11, reorganize into several smaller companies and then allowed to compete. This will have a lot better result for all of us. Continuing to have the oligopoly of hucksters in Detroit sell us cars that are bad for us individually and as a nation, is the wrong thing to do.
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djsunshine
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12 Comments
My Website
Nov 22 01:02 PMSeems you have a hard time focusing on the issue.
On Nov 21 04:42 PM Bababooie wrote:
> With a psudeo of Investor Nirav, It's highly unlikely that the author
> is a North American Born Citizen. Protectionest legislation in other
> countries are not allowing natural growth of an industry globally.
> The car companies are taking actions by exporting some of their labor
> overseas. The Author cited details on wages at the Auto Companies,
> but failed to mention the actual education that the workers have,
> and are striving to obtain. The current model of wage is abnormally
> high, but so are the wages of Financial managers of companies that
> are fialing and have failed. I am talking about MBA's, & Professors
> from the likes of Harvard, and Yale. The good ol' boys network got
> them in a position that their fathers might have been able to handle
> with LESS education.
>
> The author had indicated that the conversation was with a "fellow
> student". The Author is obviously in the process of getting an education.
> Every education comes with a cold shower of reality once in the marketplace.
>
>
> The Autoworker are getting paid exactly what the marketplace demanded.
> There are varying degrees of education by these workers. The SMART
> ones can get a comfortable income, while not having to deal with
> a lot of stress.
>
> My advise to the Author.....Try and get a job (and Keep it!!)
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djsunshine
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12 Comments
My Website
Nov 22 01:06 PMIs this a viable business?
I think so.
As it stands?
NO.
Needs to reinvent.Structured bankruptcy is more liberating. All CEOs will have to give up private jets..get a co-op jets. or fly first class.
Set an example for corporate America.
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Herbert Hoover
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400 Comments
Nov 22 02:53 PM-
cz
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13 Comments
Nov 22 03:02 PM"I think society, (and by society I mean the US taxpayer) is better served by having an overpaid segment of society go find some other work to do."
"Obviously they’re (Nissan and Honda) opposed to the bailout because it use’s their tax money to help the competition."
"He has a Masters Degree in Computer Science from the University of Southern California and hopes to graduate with an MBA from UCLA's Anderson School of Business in the vague near future."
You gotta’ be a real ‘dumb-back, toilet cleanin’ monkey’ to believe that load of bullshit!!! Masters Degree… MBA?????
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working at ford
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55 Comments
Nov 22 05:26 PMmost will be willing to defend whats left of their property with lethal force when survival of the fittest is the law of the land( no taxes, no police). On second though undertakers are as close to "anything proof" as it gets as people are always dieing to get in. I often wonder how long the media will be able to hold on to the "experts" when ad revenues from all industries are lost. How many college degrees or phd's will be required to be a greeter at wal-mart.
On Nov 22 12:13 PM Drew Horn wrote:
> In all phases of the current economic cycle, subsidies have been
> justified by the concept that banks, insurance, and car manufacturers
> are ---"TOO BIG TO ALLOW THEM TO FAIL" ---.
>
> Cash has been given to them with no visible control and the results
> have been to make things worse. Some banks are using the cash to
> buy their competitors and become even larger. AIG is into us for
> $150 billion much of which has been used to pay off their gambling
> debts (credit default swaps). GM attempted to get us to enable them
> to buy Chrysler. The result would have been to make them much larger
> and TOO BIG TO FAIL! Fannie and Freddy have been nationalized and
> told to subsidize all the idiotic, bad real estate loans they can
> find and in the process their bad asset portfolios grow TOO BIG TO
> FAIL!.
>
> Encouraging companies in trouble to grow is exactly the wrong thing
> to do but our government is so inept they don't know what else to
> do. Breaking up companies into units to small the be a threat and
> devising ways to insulate the overall economy from the bad judgements
> of a few, and making their owners take the risk, needs to be the
> objective.
>
> Propping up the US auto industry is the wrong thing to do. They should
> be forced into chapter 11, reorganize into several smaller companies
> and then allowed to compete. This will have a lot better result
> for all of us. Continuing to have the oligopoly of hucksters in
> Detroit sell us cars that are bad for us individually and as a nation,
> is the wrong thing to do.
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working at ford
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55 Comments
Nov 22 06:00 PMOn Nov 22 01:02 PM djsunshine wrote:
> 'American citizen' and him being student have nothing to do with
> topic.
> Seems you have a hard time focusing on the issue.
>
>
> On Nov 21 04:42 PM Bababooie wrote:
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raising4daughters
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110 Comments
My Website
Nov 22 06:29 PMWould you invest your own money to own shares in GM, F, or Chrysler? If you would, then by all means, go ahead, put your money where your mouth is, and give them your money on Monday in exchange for common stock. If you aren't willing to give them your own money, what gives you the right to demand that I give them MY money?
Should we give them a loan? Well, if you think so, then buy some GM, F, or Chrysler bonds on Monday. If you're not willing to do that, then what gives you the right to demand that I loan them MY money?
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joyboy
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6 Comments
Nov 22 06:44 PM-
Joey
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33 Comments
Nov 22 07:12 PM2) Get rid of half the dealerships. Chevy seems to have the best distribution so change the Chevy dealerships to Chevy, BPG, Saturn, and Cadillac
3) Close at least three of the five regional offices
4) Close all Zone offices and have employees work out of their homes
5) Get rid of 50% or more of white collar workers in the field
6) The factories will close based upon which models will be discountinued
7) Have upper management take a 35% pay cut
8) Have middle management take a 20% pay cut
9) Cut advertising from $2.3 billion per year to $750 million
10) Get rid of advertising groups and have national advertising only
11) Get rid of co-op advertising dollars
12) Get rid of all promotional advertising
13) Cut all regional and national meetings that cost more than $100,000
14) No parties for auto shows
15) Have special cash incentives for cash only purchases
Comment by Saving GM - November 22, 2008 at 7:02 pm
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Joey
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33 Comments
Nov 22 07:13 PM-
RECON605
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15 Comments
Nov 22 07:31 PMTHE AUTO EXECS DON'T WANT TO FILE BANKRUPTCY BECAUSE THEY WOULD HAVE TO OPEN THEIR BOOKS!
tHE AIRLINES FILED BKS AND CAME OUT OF THEM ALIVE, SO CAN THE AUTO INDUSTRY.
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11togo
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5 Comments
Nov 22 08:09 PMThis government has always shown complete apathy towards the industry and its' long term future. It's a history of CAFE standards, ever changing environmental rules, safety mandates.
Congress should look in the mirror. It has nothing to be proud of.
You get the feeling that Congress wants to stick the knife so far in the back of the Big 3, that both management and the union will have to find the COURAGE to implement a NEW way of running their business.
All three are close to death. If given a chance to survive by our elected representatives, they just may surprise us.
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woodsey
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146 Comments
Nov 23 03:18 AMNo, Mr. Nirav, please do not apologize to this old broken down retired auto worker. I would have loved to have worked with one of my cousins. We could have had such great fun using that computer controlled numerical control machining ce