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    • Thu Nov 20th 08:30 AM
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      Commented on:
      China's Greatest Trade Ever: The Sequel
      Do you own any gold or just paper?
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    • Thu Nov 6th 19:24 PM
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      Commented on:
      On Martin Armstrong's 'It's Just Time'
      Armstrong is still in prison because of losing several judicial appeals in Federal courts which never spoke to the evidence he was compelled to produce by the original judge in his case which would have proven whether he was guilty or innocent. All this can be found by intelligent web search along with a lot of misinformed opinion about Armstrong, including this article.

      Even at this late juncture in his career Armstrong is still failing to credit Samuel Benner's cycle book, which I own, for his own "Confidence" Model. My edition of "Benner's Prophecies of Future Ups and Downs in Prices" was published in 1879, and Armstrong had a copy of Benner's chart on his PEI website before it was disconnected. I managed to save some of his work, including the Benner chart, as the author of this article did.

      A Benner chart was also included in my copy of Frost and Prechter's very famous "Elliott Wave Principles". The first edition of Frost and Prechter's book came out in 1978 and the second, which I have, in 1981. So Armstrong would have known full well from whence came the "mysterious" Benner chart he put on his PEI website in the late 1990's.

      I truly feel very sorry for him wasting his life and considerable talent away in prison for a few more years still, and particularly I feel sorry for his family; but he has done it all to himself. I'd feel even sorrier if he had acknowledged his very large debt owed to Samuel Benner.
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    • Tue Oct 21st 11:59 AM
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      What's It Going to Be: Inflation or Deflation?
      Jason,

      John Hussman addressed both the issue of Treasury real rates (TIPS) and commodity inflation/dollar strength in his weekly letter yesterday...and he also discussed Buffett's NYT op-ed piece at length:

      www.hussmanfunds.com/w...

      I think he's on the right track,,,as he ususally is.

      Tom
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    • Thu Oct 16th 14:12 PM
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      Silver: Gap Between Paper and Physical Prices Widening Daily
      It's a mania in silver and gold,,,,or was until today. Two days ago CEF was trading at a 21% premium to the gold and silver they hold. And the gold and silver coin shops are doing the sdame thing: fleecing the willing maniacs. :)
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    • Mon Oct 6th 10:24 AM
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      Rising Gold and Silver: Essential to Any Investment Strategy
      Effectively Sanchez is saying that gold will profit from uncertainty near term and up to about six months out. By that time he implies that a successful resolution of the credit trap would improve the economy and gold would fall. But even the eventuation of a severe world wide recession would also cause gold to fall at some point in time. So I think one may want to increase on gold short term but not as a total replacement for productive (interest, dividends, capital gains) investments.

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    • Fri Sep 12th 12:24 PM
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      SPDR GLD ETF Unloads 79 Tons of Gold - Should Investors Follow Suit?
      Kelly, Are you a private investor? Or do you work for an interested firm?
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    • Thu Sep 11th 14:30 PM
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      SPDR GLD ETF Unloads 79 Tons of Gold - Should Investors Follow Suit?
      Malkiel, GLD is a "market" where one can buy or sell small or large amounts of gold exposure. Most people do not want to buy a gold trading company which may or may not trade sucessfully. They want to be "indexed" to the cash gold price. There are public commodity trading pools available if you want someone to do that for you. Check Clusty.com or Google.com for commodity trading pools or funds.
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    • Thu Sep 11th 11:05 AM
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      The Rebirth of Gold and Silver?
      I agree. On the long term charts silver looks very much like where it was for most of 1974 and 1975 after a similar 5 wave rise from 1967. I think silver's going much higher later on, probably next year unless world recession goes deeper than I think it will. In that case it may take two years of consolidation at these lower prices.
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    • Thu Sep 11th 08:37 AM
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      Commented on:
      The Rebirth of Gold and Silver?
      twocents.blogs.com/web...
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    • Thu Sep 4th 12:57 PM
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      Commented on:
      Precious Metals Manipulation: Lawyers Prepare for Battle
      On first glance it looks like this: "Oh my, they've let the "manipulationista... out of the looney bins again. They are the people who think it's glorious good fun and only right when gold goes up, but it's shady manipulation when it goes down."

      Actually this is what's going on: There's a need to recruit a new generation of loonies and make them so angry about government with manipulation fantasies that they will buy gold all the way down in a bear market as they did from 1980 to 1999. They hire gold newsletter writers and other hustlers to help them fleece the ignoranti. It always works. Just like politics eh.......:)

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    • Wed Sep 3rd 14:09 PM
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      Gold Futures' Dirty Secret (Part I)
      Gold is a valid way to diversify and reduce overall portfolio volatility. Professor Roy Jastram's seminal book, The Golden Constant (John Wiley and Sons, 1977), established that a portfolio with 5-10% gold in it was much more stable than a portfolio without any gold. 2008 has certainly proven that fact yet again even though gold is now down on the year.

      Professor Jeremy Siegel's work also establishes that gold holds its value over all types of markets and through all sorts of upheavals:
      .
      "If you had taken US$1 and invested it into the following assets in 1802, by the end of 2007 they would have grown to:

      US Stocks: $766,854
      Bonds: $1,320
      T-Bills: $302
      Gold: $2.45
      The US Dollar: $0.06"

      www.wheredoesallmymone.../

      Many people have political and philosophical agendas behind their fascination for gold, but it's just a time proven diversifier in the very long run. The history of gold is fascinating, but so is the history of interest rates and stocks. They are all necessary in optimal investment planning.
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    • Wed Sep 3rd 10:19 AM
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      Commented on:
      Gold Futures' Dirty Secret (Part I)
      mikeyLV,,,one theory comes from 1979-81. dealers then got stuck with tonnes of gold and silver at the highs. partly this was due to their own greed and partly to the wise disgorgement by the public of their silver tableware, gold coins, and jewelry into the parabola. eventually the "precious metals" newbies were convinced by science fiction writers that prices were coming back "right away". so then the dealers who were still standing were able to distribute all the way down until 1999-2002. scads of writing hacks for dubious publishers are needed to stoke that demand. BB and his stable of hacks is at the ready as always. "shortage" may replace "manipulation&quo... on the top ten science fiction hits.

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    • Wed Sep 3rd 09:05 AM
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      Commented on:
      Gold Futures' Dirty Secret (Part I)
      the poor olde dollar index, which according to the "negatory collective netmind" was going to 50 or 40, didn't. since last winter it's up 10-20% in the various other varieties of paper. so if the dow is down 20% you broke even,,,as the legions of purveyors of "depression now!" always said when it was headed the other way.

      needless to say gold is down that much or more. well good stuff can't just happen, so someone must be manipulating everything again after 6-9 years of inflation! it makes me laugh but you'll never get an admission from the "negatory collective netmind" that it/they was/were EVER wrong. so they have quietly dropped $1500 gold tomorrow and burn your dollars for their energy content and have moved on to science fiction and barrack h mugabe jr's coming apotheosis.

      i wish i could just accept the fact that the ability for neocommies to dilate at length on the "negatory collective netmind" is good for mental health in a general sense, but i was taught to demand responsibility from those flapping their lips and distracting me. the theory is that if they weren't hyperventilating their drivel, they'd be burning synagogs or whatever architectural symbol is hot this month amongst the neocommies.

      the alternative theory is that constant hyperventilation only encourages them to assume they must be correct and now they'll move on to even worse verbal (mental?) debauchery....not to mention the deleterious effects of "recruitment"... of other borderline minds which were managing to stay afloat until finally done in by the "negatory collective netmind".

      ever wonder how hitler got legally elected? he knew people really wanted change, and he gave it to them.
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    • Thu Aug 21st 13:52 PM
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      Gold Price Conspiracy?
      fran:

      for US-based investors CEF is a "passive foreign investment company" (PFIC) and is legally taxed fairly heavily at the federal level. ASA which is also a PFCI published this informative pdf file on the whole issue of PFIC taxation:

      www.asaltd.com/Tools/L...
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    • Thu Aug 21st 13:46 PM
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      Commented on:
      Gold Price Conspiracy?
      from a cyberfriend on the "gold shortage":

      "Hi ---x,

      Just thought you would be interested to know that my business (I do crown and bridge work for different dentists) uses precious metals every day. After reading all the hysterics on the 'Net' yesterday about shortages I decided to call my supplier to see if they were having any problems. Nick at **** said he had not even heard a whisper about a problem. They also sell various types of gold coins and bullion. There is no shortage in these either.

      Seems to me that someone is stirring up rumors. Gold should bottom around the $690-$750 area as near as I can tell. No need for panic."
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