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    • Mon Nov 17th 16:54 PM
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      Commented on:
      John Hussman: The Market Is Not in Uncharted Territory
      Thank you, John Hussman. I appreciate your analysis.
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    • Fri Nov 14th 09:55 AM
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      Stock Market: Is the Rally 'Real?'
      Simple, straightforward and cogent. Thank you.
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    • Sun Nov 9th 08:47 AM
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      Is Jim Cramer Right? Is Apple Really a Market Barometer?
      I think Cramer may have been speaking of Apple's predictive value. Simultaneous price correlation and the other tools you use would be useless to assess this metric. Instead, I would use a delay of one day and assess AAPL's price correlation with the SP, then 2 days and so on up to 5 days. Then I would do the same on a weekly chart. That is one way of measuring predictive value.
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    • Sun Oct 19th 20:21 PM
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      Buffett Likes to Be Early; Don't Rush to Follow
      Thanks, Devin. Nice research and analogy.
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    • Wed Oct 15th 08:33 AM
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      The Market's Disassociation with Reality
      "Let's face it, there have been plenty of market crashes, where the stock indexes fell by more than 40%, and we aren't even close to that."

      Really? Now that is really stretching the numbers.

      Check your math, sir. From peak to trough - from October 2007 to October 10, 2008, the SP 500 fell from 1560 to 844. 40% off of 1560 is SP 936. We fell 46% from peak to the recent trough.



      View article »
    • Fri Sep 26th 12:08 PM
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      Rally Now, Wheels Come Off Later - Faber
      Paul,
      Agree that the credit markets will present great opportunity. How do you invest in those -- as a small investor?
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    • Fri Sep 12th 17:02 PM
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      Alternative Buyers for Lehman (and Not Just the Usual Suspects)
      Scott, you're funny. Thanks for the laughs.
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    • Sat Aug 30th 16:51 PM
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      Real Disposable Income Up in Q2
      Why not just point out what's questionable about this article instead of making ad hominem attacks?

      Real Disposable income obviously increased as a result of the stimulus payments. How is that news? It would be nice if you had some predictions on what would happen to Real Disposable Income (RDI) AFTER the stimulus payments are done.

      Take a look at this graph from the Government BEA, people. It may be more helpful:

      www.bea.gov/briefrm/dp...

      And, yes, Mr. Perry, I do wonder about your motives.
      View article »
    • Sat Aug 30th 16:41 PM
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      U.S. In Recession? Not So Fast!
      Sorry, I meant "you" would help your analysis...
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    • Sat Aug 30th 16:40 PM
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      U.S. In Recession? Not So Fast!
      I think what Whidbey is trying to say is that there is a large and somewhat fishy difference between Inflation and the GDP deflator used for this past GDP calculation. Your would help your analysis by examining this difference and its effect upon your conclusions.
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    • Fri Aug 29th 10:52 AM
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      Why Apple Stock Is Poised To Go Flat - At Best
      1) Big numbers 2) Jobs mortality are the only arguments worth responding to.

      1) Big numbers - If Apple overtakes PCs as the dominant computers worldwide, this is not a concern.

      2) Jobs' health - In my view, this is only a short-term concern and only a serious concern for the next two years or so. If something happens to Jobs within the next two years (I pray that nothing does), I and every idiot out there will short Apple for one month or so. Then there will be others in Apple who will take over. There ARE others, who are very prominent within the company. Within the next two years these others will become more and more prominent without.
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    • Mon Aug 25th 10:47 AM
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      Commented on:
      This Market Needs More Volume
      Summer time is low volume time.
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    • Thu Aug 21st 10:36 AM
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      Goldman: Readying Short Position Initiation Sequence
      Good luck to you - that's a ballsy trade, if there ever was one. I personally was considering going long GS. Look at the US $. If it stays ascendant, money will pour into US equities.

      View article »
    • Tue Aug 12th 19:46 PM
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      Time To Sell This Bear Market Bounce?
      Duru,
      Thanks for the thoughts. I agree with most. Problem is you offer no reason for shortin the Q's, and so far that trade's been a big loser. I'd rather short the DIA or the SPX, which I will on the next big up day.
      View article »
    • Sat Aug 9th 13:57 PM
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      What Planned Sohu Spinoff Says About Games, and China
      Hey Mark,
      So we got the pre-Olympic slump (in anticipation of the post-Olympic slump). To me it now seems as if many Chinese equities are undervalued on a fundamental basis. How long before you expect a bounce/ trend change?
      View article »