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Tate Dwinnell
15 Comments
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joe and muriel - negative market and bear market are very subjective terms. What defines a bear market? I personally base it on a break down of long term trends which we are on the verge of doing. If you had read article you may have noticed that my outlook is quite "bearish" over the next few months.
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SPAR is a good one too and much cheaper than FRPT, but both are way extended. As I write this Cramer was praising your call and predicting higher prices!? I see SPAR running tomorrow morning once again but I'd be hesitant to get into either one at these levels - except for a quick day or swing trade. Agree that any pull backs offer buy opportunities though.
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Thursday's Rise to Resistance (QQQQ, SPY)
I get the impression you're not a believer in technical analysis. That's fine, but technical analysis proves to be a valuable tool (at least for me) in taking analysis from pure "guessing" as you imply to an educated guess. Of course nobody knows where the market is going, but I can guage the probablity of a move in some direction with a look at support/resistance & price/volume movements. The charts above were indicating a much higher probablity of further deterioration over the following weeks then of a sustained breakout. As it turned out, the markets cleared that first level of resistance, but ulimately failed at the next level around the 50 day moving average. Thx for your comment